A sorted leading indicators dynamic (SLID) factor model for short-run euro-area GDP forecasting /

This paper introduces a statistical model for short-term GDP forecasting based on approximate dynamic factors, Stock and Watson methodology, extracted from a very large number of leading indicators at several lags. Given that factor extraction is performed on many series from all countries of the eu...

Πλήρης περιγραφή

Κύριος συγγραφέας: Grenouilleau, Daniel.
Corporate συγγραφέας: European Commission : Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs.
Μορφή: Βιβλίο
Γλώσσα: Greek
English
Στοιχεία έκδοσης: Brussels ; Belgium : European Commission: Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs, 2004.
Σειρά: European Economy. Economic papers ; 219.
Διαθέσιμο Online: http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/publication_summary522_en.htm
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022 0 |a 1016-8060 (print) 
022 0 |a 1725-3187 (online) 
024 0 |a ECFIN/REP.50402/04-EN 
035 |l 33187 
040 |a GR-PeUP 
041 0 |a eng 
099 0 |a ΚΕΤ Αλφαβητική σειρά 
100 1 |a Grenouilleau, Daniel. 
245 1 2 |a A sorted leading indicators dynamic (SLID) factor model for short-run euro-area GDP forecasting /  |c Grenouilleau Daniel. 
260 |a Brussels ;  |a Belgium :  |b European Commission: Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs,  |c 2004. 
300 |a 46 σ. ;  |c 30 εκ. 
500 |a Internal paper 
520 0 |a This paper introduces a statistical model for short-term GDP forecasting based on approximate dynamic factors, Stock and Watson methodology, extracted from a very large number of leading indicators at several lags. Given that factor extraction is performed on many series from all countries of the euro area, the common component to all predictors reflects the overall business cycle of the euro area and can accordingly provide a good proxy for euro area GDP. 
580 |a Economic Papers 
710 2 |a European Commission : Directorate-General for Economic and Financial Affairs. 
773 0 |a Economic papers  |g December 2004, No 219. 
830 |a European Economy. Economic papers ;  |v 219. 
852 |a INST  |b UNIPILB  |c KET  |e 20090317  |p EEEP 219  |q EEEP 219  |t NOLOAN  |y 23  |4 1 
856 4 1 |u http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/publications/publication_summary522_en.htm